D4 | Sunday Feb 28 2021 - Monday Mar 1 2021 |
D7 | Wednesday Mar 3 2021 - Thursday Mar 4 2021 |
D5 | Monday Mar 1 2021 - Tuesday Mar 2 2021 |
D8 | Thursday Mar 4 2021 - Friday Mar 5 2021 |
D6 | Tuesday Mar 2 2021 - Wednesday Mar 3 2021 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be
possible based on some model scenarios.
However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt
due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of
organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire
period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe
storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).
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